Presidential Predictions 2024 Professor Morgan. Our prediction model calculates kamala harris’s and donald trump’s probabilities of winning each individual state and the election overall. Explore how election outcomes could impact the economy, investments, and financial markets.

State and national polling averages and how they’ve changed over time. This year’s version of the time for change model shows kamala harris as a narrow favorite in both the popular vote and electoral college, but her predicted margins are.